Posted by
"Happy" Jake Greene on Tuesday, January 29, 2008 8:58:35 AM
Thomas Sowell, in a column on January 29, notes that if Hillary Clinton is to be elected this year that would mean something like 24-28 years of two families in the White House (Dr. Sowell miscalculates and says 16-20, but the point is the same): the Clintons and the Bushes. To their respective critics, both of the last two Presidents have been among the worst in history; if not the worst. Somehow I suspect that in neither case is this true.
As to President Bush, the most common complaint from the Left is his handling of the war on terror, followed by the fact that he has the gall to cut taxes and not use the surplus to justify even more massive entitlements than he has already supported. (There are also the standard complaints that he uses God’s name while within the halls of Holy Government, that he doesn’t support with absolute, unwavering fanaticism, the right of women to “choose,” that he has not supported with nearly the same fanaticism minority and gay privileges, etc.) But the most common complaint is the war.
There are several problems with this thesis, though. The first, of course, is that the complainers almost to a man (or woman, as the case may be) believe that an “immoral war” is any in which America does not immediately lay down its arms and capitulate to the nearest convenient genocidal dictator. These people would have demanded we capitulate to Hitler had Germany not invaded the sovereign territory of Soyuz Sovetskikh Sotsialisticheskikh Respublik, all the while breaking his pact with “Uncle Joe” Stalin. Never mind Japan. One must consider the source before one makes a judgment on the efficacy of a policy. That would be like letting cigarette companies decide smoking laws.
The second, and far more important problem, is that, regardless of who the President was at the time, most of the issues currently facing Mr. Bush would be facing either Al Gore or John Kerry. September 11th would have happened regardless of who was in the White House, and anyone who says differently is either grotesquely naïve, or lying through their teeth. The issue of Iraq, its place in the War on Terror, and its Weapons of Mass Destruction programs – in the existence of which Bill Clinton also firmly believed, mind – would still have to be faced. Hurricane Katrina would still – RFK Junior’s assertions to the contrary aside – have ravaged New Orleans, the levees would still have broken, and the city would still have flooded. And FEMA’s response would likely have been the same. And regardless of what another President would have done differently, it is merely conjecture that the decisions he made would have produced any better results.
From the Right, Mr. Bush’s immigration and spending policies are challenged, and rightly so. My only concern here is that, based on the current crop of contenders for the GOP nomination, there isn’t anyone seriously running that has a particularly good record on either of those issues. The politicians are, to a man, out of step with the people on Immigration. Period. And there isn’t a politician who successfully makes it to office on a “cut spending” platform. They all want to spend money to pump up their own constituency, that’s the way of things across the river from where I sit. The point, and I have one, is that there isn’t a Republican who would have been elected President that would have handled either issue any better that George Bush.
Republicans and conservatives (I among them) tend to consider Bill Clinton’s administration the most corrupt and scandal-riddled in history. They who rank Presidents tend to put the scandal-riddled ones at the bottom of the stack (Conveniently placing Republicans Nixon, Grant, and Harding at or near the bottom.) Under that mindset, Bill Clinton would be so far below the bottom of the barrel that he’d have to climb a mile just to get to the dirt on which the barrel is sitting. I do not, however, fall into the category of “scandal = bad.” And a lot of Historians (some probably to justify not putting Clinton a mile under the bottom of the barrel) are starting to come around on that. Warren Harding, usually considered the worst President in history (excepting W.H. Harrison and Garfield, who would die 1, and 6 months after their respective inaugurations, with Garfield lingering in ill health for two of those six), is getting a new look. Historians generally agree that he was a fair President in his administrative and executive capabilities, and that he was probably utterly unaware of and almost certainly uncorrupted by the Teapot Dome scandal that came to light after his death in office. The same assessment holds true for Grant, who had some very corrupt advisors, but he, himself was as clean as a modern surgical theater.
As I indicated, scandal does not, in and of itself, make a presidency bad. Bill Clinton was in office during an economic boom. He did have a hand in balancing the federal budget (though he did it with higher tax increases than were strictly necessary.) And, while his foreign policy is justifiably criticized as being particularly bad (Somalia, ignoring terrorism for the most part, Bosnia, allegedly failing to “get” bin Laden when he had the chance) one wonders if anyone else would have made different choices given what they knew at the time, and what those choices would have produced. Again, we can hypothesize all we want, but we really can never actually know.
This is not to say that either gets my vote as the greatest President ever or in the last 100 years. As a matter of fact, I’m not a big fan of George Bush, and I’ve said a number of times that I greatly dislike Bill (and Hillary) Clinton, and neither rises out of the middle of the pack in my mind.
If anyone cares, I put Abraham Lincoln at the top of the heap, not because most historians do likewise, but because he had to unite a divided party to decide how to united a deeply divided nation. He had to deal both with the “Radical” Republicans (abolitionists) who wanted uncompensated emancipation, and severe punishment for the rebellious states, and the “Conservative” wing of the party, that preferred to let the South off easy on both the questions of slavery and reconstruction. Never mind preventing the Border States (most especially Maryland) from going over to the Confederacy. He had to fight a war as unpopular as the current war in Iraq while dealing with a Cabinet that saw him as a political neophyte (which was true) whom they could and should manipulate to their own ends (which was not.) His opponent in 1864 was (a) a former General who was both insubordinate and overly cautious to the point of inaction (and accusations of cowardice), which inaction probably lengthened the war by several years (b) the sort who blames his own failures on others and takes responsibility for nothing but successes in which he is involved and (c) ran at the head of a Democratic party that had a large wing whose main platform was capitulation and “peace at all costs” in an “unwinnable” war. And he did it successfully enough to win the war, keep the party together, end slavery, and start to get the nation itself back together before he was murdered. It’s also noteworthy that Lincoln managed to get re-elected at a time when the one-term President was the norm.
On the other end of the spectrum comes Jimmy Carter. It is a very rare thing to have a sitting President lose by a landslide in his reelection bid. Carter’s administration was not, to my knowledge, corrupt, and Carter himself, while I disagree with him politically, was probably one of the cleanest politicians around. There is not a single good thing that can be said about his legacy. Not one. The economy was in the tank, inflation and unemployment were soaring, his foreign policy (probably the most important job of a President) was abysmal, when the going got tough in the attempt to rescue our diplomats in Teheran, he let them stay until the last day of his administration. He pardoned cowards and draft dodgers from Vietnam. He created do-nothing Cabinet departments like Energy, and Education. In short nothing good came out of his administration. Nothing. (Except, perhaps the law that allows people to home-brew beer.)
HJG